A very rare event for people trying to learn quantitative side of risk management, highly recommended by Alex Sidorenko RISK-ACADEMY Blog

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I rarely get excited by a risk management conference, but today… something special happened. This is such rare RM2 gem in the otherwise boring RM1 world.

probabilitymanagement.org and Sam Savage are bring quantitative risk management to every household. Over the last decades Sam was explaining complex math in a language executives easily understand and relate to.

Check out workshops during day 1: Wednesday March 30:

Session 1: SIPmath Standard

  • 8:30 AM – 9:00 AM: Chancification – Sam Savage
  • 9:00 AM – 9:30 AM: Introduction to Metalog Distributions – Tom Keelin
  • 9:30 AM – 10:00 AM: SIPmath Support in Analytic Solver – Dan Fylstra
  • 10:00 AM – 10:15 AM: Q&A for Online Audience

Session 2: Defense

  • 10:15 AM – 10:45 AM: From Ready or Not to How Ready for What – Connor McLemore
  • 10:45 AM – 11:15 AM: Probability Management at Lockheed Martin – Phil Fahringer
  • 11:15 AM – 11:45 AM: Chance-Informed Aircraft Fleet Management – Steve Roemerman
  • 11:45 AM – 12:00 PM: Q&A for Online Audience

Session 3: Expert Opinion / Healthcare

  • 1:00 PM – 1:30 PM: The FrankenSME: Synthesizing Expert Opinion – Doug Hubbard
  • 1:30 PM – 2:00 PM: Making CDC Forecasts Actionable – Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo
  • 2:00 PM – 2:30 PM: Building Chance-Informed Capability in Healthcare – Justin Schell
  • 2:30 PM – 2:45 PM: Q&A for Online Audience

Session 4: Infrastructure

  • 2:45 PM -3:15 PM: Stochastic Libraries in Infrastructure Planning and Risk Management – Sam Savage
  • 3:15 PM – 3:45 PM: Explaining Cyber Insurance to Municipalities – Shayne Kavanagh
  • 3:45 PM – 4:15 PM: “Risk-Spend Efficiency”? How Utilities Can Use It – Max Henrion
  • 4:15 PM – 4:30 PM: Q&A for Online Audience

Day 2: Thursday March 31

  • 9:00 AM – 9:20 AM: Teaching Your Organization to Teach Itself – Sam Savage and Justin Schell
  • 9:20 AM – 9:40 AM: Unleashing DCMA Data for Modeling & Readiness – Max Disla, Program Integrator, DCMA Boston Office
  • 9:40 AM – 10:00 AM: A Data-Driven Framework for Readiness Management – Alejandro de la Puente, Chief Data Scientist in the Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Force Readiness
  • 10:00 AM – 10:20 AM: Putting the Squeeze on Python: How MS Excel is Flexing its Programming Muscles with Dynamic Arrays and Lambda Functions – Matthew Raphaelson
  • 10:20 AM – 12:00 PM: Informal discussions

If you can’t join the livestream, you can learn more about the topics above in Dr. Sam Savage’s newest book, Chancification: How to Fix the Flaw of Averages. Many of the summit speakers are featured in the book, and topics include the Arithmetic of Uncertainty, speaking uncertainty to power, military readiness, pandemic modeling, and the technology of Chancification.

Chancification shows how to solve the problems of dealing with uncertainty exposed by Dr. Savage’s earlier book, The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty (John Wiley & Sons, 2009, 2012). The publisher has generously offered a 30% discount on the paperback edition of The Flaw of Averages to help us promote the companion volume. Use code BPFS2 (be sure to click Apply) at the link below to receive the discount.

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