Above-normal rainfall forecast for Greater Horn of Africa for June to September

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Above-normal rainfall is predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa for June to September, including Djibouti, Eritrea, central and northern Ethiopia, western and coastal Kenya, much of Uganda, South Sudan, and Sudan.

This is according to the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), which serves as a WMO regional climate centre.

June to September is an important rainy season in the northern and western parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, where it generally contributes more than 90% of the annual rainfall in the northern part of the region and 40% in southern areas. 

The forecasted wetter-than-normal conditions for June to September 2024 echo the patterns of 1998 and 2010, with a risk of flooding especially in South Sudan and Sudan, according to Dr. Guleid Artan, ICPAC’s Director.

Countries which recently suffered devastating flooding go into dry season from June to September. These include Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, United Republic of Tanzania and parts of Ethiopia, Somalia and Uganda, 

Seasonal climate outlooks are important for decision-making in sectors like agriculture, health and water resource management. They also form part of a suite of products…

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