Army West Point (56.6% win probability per ESPN FPI)
The Army Black Knights will hit the road as underdogs for the fourth time this season when they take on the Eagles of Eastern Michigan. After failing to cover the spread against Duke in week one, Monken’s squad has responded well by covering in their next three road contests and I don’t think this week is shaping up to be any different. The Eagles are only 1-1 at home against FBS competition and they didn’t beat the spread in either contest. All signs are pointing towards an Army win and cover (well, considering the game currently sits at Army +1 those two outcomes go hand-in-hand). Army hasn’t been involved in a game that has totaled less than 48 combined points.
Army (+1) – Moderate Risk
Over (48) – Minor Risk
Pick – Army 31 Eastern Michigan 27
Air Force (23% win probability per ESPN FPI)
The Air Force Falcons play host to the Boise State Broncos on Saturday night at Falcon Stadium – which is a lot better than playing on a blue field if you ask me. Air Force is currently sitting as a +9.5 underdog against a Broncos team that has been favored in every game of the year, even with a 5-2 overall record. I don’t see the Falcons…
