General Sir Richard Shirreff, KCB, CBE
One of the biggest geopolitical risks in the immediate short-term, particularly for the Transatlantic region (Europe and North America), is that we face an existential threat from a resurgent Russia.
More broadly, the consequences of climate change are having an impact now on geopolitics and will continue to do so: desertification, competition over water, rises in sea levels to name but a few.
This means taking an integrated approach to risk management and understanding the relationships between risk and the second and third-order impact of one risk on another.
Ambassador Ivo Daalder
Chinese strategic competition poses the greatest geopolitical risks as it is increasingly becoming THE driving force for U.S., European, and Asian global engagement.
How the competition evolves will have the greatest immediate impact on geopolitics.
Also concerning is Russian militarism, especially since the Russian economy is now fundamentally a war economy, meaning that future military engagement by the Russian military is fundamental to its economic stability.
Finally, the threat of Islamic extremism remains real … especially in the Middle East but also in Europe.
