Here is What Will Likely Happen

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  • Trump continues to pressure Fed Chair Powell for immediate rate cuts, clashing over interest rates and a $2.5B renovation project.
  • Legal and political scrutiny is rising, with lawsuits, congressional probes, and calls to amend the Fed’s founding act.
  • Despite tension, Powell defends the Fed’s independence as market participants expect the first rate cut to come in September.

As the Federal Reserve gears up for its latest policy meeting, President Donald Trump is ramping up pressure on Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates. During a high-profile visit to the Fed’s headquarters last week, Trump publicly clashed with Powell over a $2.5 billion renovation project, reiterating his demand for lower rates. Despite the theatrics, markets widely expect the Fed to hold steady again this Wednesday, postponing any rate adjustments until September.

However, not all within the Fed agree. Governor Christopher Waller is reportedly considering dissenting at the upcoming meeting, believing that any inflation resulting from Trump’s tariffs will be short-lived. Waller’s view reflects growing division within the central bank, even as Powell maintains his wait-and-see approach,…

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