Army (79.9% win probability per ESPN FPI) vs. Air Force
The Air Force Falcons may be sitting at 3-5 overall, but they are 1-0 in the quest for the Commander in Chief’s Trophy. Saturday, the Falcons travel to West Point in an attempt to complete the CIC sweep hoping to win the trophy for the second time in three years. Winning at Michie Stadium will be no easy task for Air Force as the Black Knights (6-2) are undefeated (3-0) at home and are currently riding a four game win streak. Speaking of streaks, does anyone know the last time Army defeated Air Force in back-to-back seasons? If you guessed 1977-1978, you’d be correct. How crazy is that? Army hasn’t defeated Air Force in two consecutive seasons in forty years. Well, Vegas likes Army’s chances to do just that for the second time ever as they come into the weekend as 6.5 point favorites, their sixth time as favorites this year. As favorites, the Black Knights have covered the spread all but one time in 2018 and I see them accomplishing that feat again this weekend with a solid 7-10 point victory.
The over/under is certainly tricky as everyone expects the option offenses for both teams to contribute to a low scoring affair, yet…
